Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasalund · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vasalund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Piteå are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasalund hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Ettan - Norra, while Vasalund holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasalund
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Vasalund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00