Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasalund are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Karlberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80