Vasalundvs
Hammarby Talang
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby Talang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasalund 0-0 Hammarby Talang
Original prediction
Hammarby Talang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.4% | 34.0% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 25.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.9% | 40.7% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby Talang
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Hammarby Talang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00