Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasalund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasalund 2-3 Enköping
Original prediction
Vasalund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.6% | 45.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 25.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.4% | 28.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Vasalund
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Vasalund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VasalundLWLDW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EnköpingLDLLW
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VasalundEnköping
100.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence100.0
100.0Form33.3
72.0Power45.3
1.94xG1.38