Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasalund · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vasalund are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Enköping are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasalund hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vasalund holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasalund
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Vasalund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40