Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasalund · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Vasalund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Boden are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasalund hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the Ettan - Norra, while Vasalund holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasalund
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Vasalund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00