Vasalundvs
Assyriska FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasalund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasalund 1-5 Assyriska FF
Original prediction
Vasalund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.0% | 43.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 25.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.6% | 30.9% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vasalund
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Vasalund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00