Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasalund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arlanda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60