Vasalundvs
AFC Eskilstuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasalund 0-4 AFC Eskilstuna
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.4% | 24.1% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 18.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.1% | 57.0% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00