GGOALVIO

Varzim logoVarzimvsSC Braga B logoSC Braga B

COMPLETED

Portugal · Liga 3 · 8/7/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Varzim are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SC Braga B are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga B hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VarzimLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
SC Braga BW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
VarzimSC Braga B
35.5Attack48.4
61.3Defence61.3
41.9Form52.7
47.9Power54.8
0.86xG1.05
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