Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VarzimLLLWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FafeWLWWD
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VarzimFafe
53.3Attack53.3
66.7Defence73.3
60.0Form53.3
61.0Power60.1
1.13xG1.04