Varteks Varaždinvs
Koprivnica
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varteks Varaždin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varteks Varaždin 1-1 Koprivnica
Original prediction
Varteks Varaždin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.3% | 35.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 28.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.8% | 35.5% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Varteks Varaždin
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Varteks Varaždin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80