Varteks Varaždinvs
Inter Zapresic
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Zapresic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varteks Varaždin 0-2 Inter Zapresic
Original prediction
Inter Zapresic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.9% | 33.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.6% | 38.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Inter Zapresic
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Inter Zapresic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00