Varnsdorfvs
Velké Hamry
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 3-1 Velké Hamry
Original prediction
Varnsdorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.4% | 46.8% | -23.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 17.0% | 24.8% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 7.14 | 12.7% | 28.4% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20