VarnsdorfvsÚstí nad Labem

Varnsdorf are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ústí nad Labem are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ústí nad Labem hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (76.5 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Cup, while Varnsdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.