Varnsdorfvs
Slavia Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Cup · 9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 1-5 Slavia Praha
Original prediction
Slavia Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23.07 | 4.0% | 33.2% | 29.2 pts |
| Draw | 9.91 | 9.3% | 20.9% | 11.6 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 86.7% | 46.0% | -40.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Praha
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Slavia Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00