Varnsdorfvs
Hradec Králové II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Varnsdorf 0-0 Hradec Králové II, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Varnsdorf 2-1 Hradec Králové II
Original prediction
Varnsdorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.3% | 40.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 29.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.6% | 29.9% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Projected Score
Varnsdorf 0–0 Hradec Králové II
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80