GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/20/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varketili · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Varketili are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Merani Martvili are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varketili

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VarketiliLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Merani MartviliWWDLW

GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VarketiliMerani Martvili
88.2Attack64.4
82.4Defence66.7
84.3Form63.2
82.2Power64.4
1.87xG0.92
View match centre →