Varketilivs
Dinamo Tbilisi II
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varketili 3-0 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Original prediction
Varketili
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.0% | 53.9% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.1% | 24.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.67 | 15.9% | 21.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40