Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Varketili are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Betlemi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 58.1-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.7% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
94.7%
Model confidence
94.7%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00