Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Varketili are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Betlemi are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 3.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 58.1-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.7% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
94.7%
Model confidence
94.7%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 3.25/0.75