Varginha ECvs
Tupynambás
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 5/10/2023, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varginha EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Varginha EC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tupynambás are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Varginha EC hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Mineiro - 2, while Varginha EC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varginha EC
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Varginha EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50