Vargas Torresvs
Macara
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/29/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vargas Torres are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Macara are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00