Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varegg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Varegg are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Askøy are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Varegg hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Varegg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varegg
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
7.9%
Varegg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00