GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkupi 1927 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vardar Skopje are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shkupi 1927 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkupi 1927 hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the First League, while Shkupi 1927 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkupi 1927

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Shkupi 1927 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vardar SkopjeLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shkupi 1927LLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vardar SkopjeShkupi 1927
33.3Attack42.4
66.7Defence76.8
50.0Form62.6
51.0Power62.2
0.71xG1.06
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