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Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje

Home
WL
20
Full time
Bregalnica Štip

Bregalnica Štip

Away
W
National Arena Toshe Proeski
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Vardar Skopje(45%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Vardar Skopje
45%
Draw
25%
Bregalnica Štip
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vardar Skopje
54
Bregalnica Štip
94
Defence
Vardar Skopje
27
Bregalnica Štip
91
Momentum
Vardar Skopje
50
Bregalnica Štip
100
Danger (xG)
Vardar Skopje
1.35
Bregalnica Štip
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Vardar Skopje)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Bregalnica Štip)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Vardar Skopje)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bregalnica Štip)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje
WLWW
Bregalnica ŠtipBregalnica Štip
W

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Vardar Skopje45%
Draw25%
Bregalnica Štip30%

Vardar Skopje leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vardar Skopje head into this in First League fixture at National Arena Toshe Proeski in mixed form (WL), while Bregalnica Štip arrive in mixed form (W). Vardar Skopje have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Bregalnica Štip over 1 games.

Tactically, Bregalnica Štip hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Vardar Skopje defence (27/100), while Vardar Skopje's attack faces a watertight Bregalnica Štip backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Vardar Skopje have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Bregalnica Štip have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Vardar Skopje and Bregalnica Štip in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Vardar Skopje to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Vardar Skopje 4546%, Draw 2483%, Bregalnica Štip 2971%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje

W
@ KuPS
14 Jul 2026
32
L
vs KuPS
7 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Virtus
30 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Struga
15 May 2026
10
Bregalnica Štip

Bregalnica Štip

W
@ Osogovo
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

GoalVio's model predicts Vardar Skopje to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more