Vardar Negotinovs
Kozuv Gevgelija
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Vardar Negotino are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kozuv Gevgelija are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vardar Negotino hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40