GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vardar Negotino are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kozuv Gevgelija are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vardar Negotino hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vardar NegotinoL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Kozuv GevgelijaWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vardar NegotinoKozuv Gevgelija
36.8Attack37.9
65.5Defence60.9
48.3Form43.7
52.2Power49.2
0.94xG0.71
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