3. Division - Girone 33. Division - Girone 3
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Vard

Vard

Home
DW
44
Full time
Sogndal II

Sogndal II

Away
W
Haugesund Stadion
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Vard(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Vard
43%
Draw
27%
Sogndal II
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vard
73
Sogndal II
100
Defence
Vard
82
Sogndal II
91
Momentum
Vard
67
Sogndal II
100
Danger (xG)
Vard
1.80
Sogndal II
5.40
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Vard)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sogndal II)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Vard)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Sogndal II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VardVard
DW
Sogndal IISogndal II
W

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Vard43%
Draw27%
Sogndal II30%

Vard leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vard head into this in 3. Division - Girone 3 fixture at Haugesund Stadion in mixed form (DW), while Sogndal II arrive in mixed form (W). Vard have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Sogndal II over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Vard (82/100) and Sogndal II (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Vard have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Sogndal II have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 6.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Vard and Sogndal II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Vard to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Vard 4262%, Draw 2700%, Sogndal II 3038%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Vard

Vard

D
@ Djerv
15 May 2026
11
W
vs Brann II
11 May 2026
30
Sogndal II

Sogndal II

W
@ Fyllingsdalen
11 May 2026
60

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vard vs Sogndal II?

GoalVio's model predicts Vard to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vard vs Sogndal II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Vard vs Sogndal II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vard vs Sogndal II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more