Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Os · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Vard are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Os are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Os hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Os holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Os
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
7.2%
Os has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60