Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Vard are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Egersund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 79.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.6% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
81.6%
Model confidence
81.6%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40