Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
7%
LowconfidenceVard are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Djerv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and djerv hold a 50.9-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 3, favouring Djerv with 7.3% confidence, a 82% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Djerv
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
7.3%
Djerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VardWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DjervWLWLW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VardDjerv
33.3Attack91.0
0.0Defence44.9
0.0Form65.4
15.3Power66.2
1.87xG3.87