Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vard · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vard 3-2 Askøy
Original prediction
Vard
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Vard
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Vard has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VardWWWWW
GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AskøyLDLWD
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VardAskøy
89.9Attack56.5
39.1Defence58.0
59.4Form62.3
60.3Power59.3
2.59xG2.01