Vardvs
Aalesund II
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 4/24/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vard · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vard are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Aalesund II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vard hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Vard holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vard
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Vard has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00