GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Varbergs BoIS FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while United Nordic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Varbergs BoIS FC hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Superettan, while Varbergs BoIS FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Varbergs BoIS FCDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
United NordicWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Varbergs BoIS FCUnited Nordic
63.0Attack53.7
55.6Defence51.9
61.1Form51.9
60.8Power54.0
1.99xG1.28
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