GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Varbergs BoIS FC 3-1 Oddevold

Original prediction

Varbergs BoIS FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3139.9%47.5%7.7 pts
Draw3.2428.5%23.4%-5.1 pts
Away2.9131.7%29.1%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Varbergs BoIS FCLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OddevoldWDDWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Varbergs BoIS FCOddevold
58.3Attack55.0
56.7Defence53.3
56.7Form48.3
58.2Power53.8
1.78xG1.29
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