Varbergs BoIS FCvs
IK brage
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varbergs BoIS FC 3-2 IK brage
Original prediction
Varbergs BoIS FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.9% | 63.5% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.3% | 18.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.8% | 17.7% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Varbergs BoIS FC
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80