Varbergs BoIS FCvs
IFK Norrkoping
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Norrkoping · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varbergs BoIS FC 0-2 IFK Norrkoping
Original prediction
IFK Norrkoping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.2% | 24.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.1% | 24.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.7% | 51.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
IFK Norrkoping
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20