Varbergs BoIS FCvs
Helsingborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/19/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Varbergs BoIS FC 0-0 Helsingborg
Original prediction
Varbergs BoIS FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.6% | 62.7% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.7% | 19.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.8% | 17.8% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Varbergs BoIS FC
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20