Vaqueros Reynosavs
Héroes de Zaci
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 9/15/2026, 2:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaqueros Reynosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vaqueros Reynosa 1-1 Héroes de Zaci
Original prediction
Vaqueros Reynosa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.3% | 58.1% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.8% | 21.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 6.54 | 13.9% | 20.1% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Vaqueros Reynosa
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Vaqueros Reynosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40