GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trans Narva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vaprus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trans Narva are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Trans Narva hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Trans Narva holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trans Narva

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Trans Narva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VaprusWLWLD

GF 19 · GA 10 · avg 3.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Trans NarvaLDDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VaprusTrans Narva
16.7Attack42.9
41.7Defence76.2
0.0Form57.1
23.7Power60.3
0.94xG1.60
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