Vaprusvs
Trans Narva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 5/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Vaprus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Trans Narva are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaprus
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80