Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vaprus are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tammeka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tammeka hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaprus
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60