VaprusvsTallinna Kalev

Vaprus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Meistriliiga, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.