MeistriliigaMeistriliiga
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 10:07
Vaprus

Vaprus

Home
W
10
Full time
Kuressaare

Kuressaare

Away
LL
Parnu Rannastaadion
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Vaprus(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Vaprus
Win probability
Vaprus
46%
Draw
27%
Kuressaare
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vaprus
100
Kuressaare
34
Defence
Vaprus
66
Kuressaare
6
Momentum
Vaprus
100
Kuressaare
0
Danger (xG)
Vaprus
4.50
Kuressaare
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Vaprus)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Kuressaare)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vaprus)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kuressaare)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VaprusVaprus
WWW
KuressaareKuressaare
LLLL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Vaprus46%
Draw27%
Kuressaare28%

Vaprus leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vaprus head into this in Meistriliiga fixture at Parnu Rannastaadion in mixed form (W), while Kuressaare arrive in mixed form (LL). Vaprus have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Kuressaare over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Vaprus's elite attack (100/100) faces a vulnerable Kuressaare defence (6/100), while Kuressaare's attack is up against a solid Vaprus backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Vaprus's favour.

Vaprus have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Kuressaare have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Vaprus have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Vaprus to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Vaprus 4550%, Draw 2660%, Kuressaare 2780%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Vaprus 1Draws 00 Kuressaare
Avg goals: 1.0
26 Jun 2026
Vaprus
W10
Kuressaare

Recent form

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Kuressaare

Kuressaare

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

GoalVio's model predicts Vaprus to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more