Vaprusvs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vaprus 2-2 Kalju Nomme
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 23.7% | 19.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 21.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.5% | 59.1% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20