Vaprusvs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 3/16/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Vaprus are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kalju Nomme are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Meistriliiga, while Kalju Nomme holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60