GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 6/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Vaprus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Meistriliiga, while Flora Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora Tallinn

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

10.2%

Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VaprusDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Flora TallinnLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VaprusFlora Tallinn
46.0Attack66.7
38.1Defence65.0
42.9Form65.0
43.7Power63.9
0.98xG2.41
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