Vanspor FKvs
Ümraniyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ümraniyespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vanspor FK 0-0 Ümraniyespor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vanspor FK 0-2 Ümraniyespor
Original prediction
Ümraniyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.9% | 32.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 29.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.4% | 37.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Vanspor FK 0–0 Ümraniyespor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ümraniyespor
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Ümraniyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vanspor FKWLLDD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÜmraniyesporLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vanspor FKÜmraniyespor
33.3Attack23.3
33.3Defence63.3
30.0Form23.3
35.7Power39.7
0.78xG0.95