Vanspor FKvs
Keçiörengücü
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vanspor FK 1-1 Keçiörengücü
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 25.0% | 26.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.1% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.9% | 47.2% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80