GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vanraure Hachinohe · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vanraure Hachinohe 0-3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Original prediction

Vanraure Hachinohe

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.4426.5%36.4%9.9 pts
Draw3.1429.0%28.9%-0.1 pts
Away2.0544.5%34.7%-9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Vanraure Hachinohe

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Vanraure Hachinohe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vanraure HachinoheLDLWL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Tegevajaro MiyazakiWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vanraure HachinoheTegevajaro Miyazaki
16.7Attack33.3
55.6Defence44.4
38.9Form27.8
39.1Power38.3
1.12xG0.94
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